Saturday, July 11, 2009

Thoughts on the Man o' War-G1

11 Furlongs - Turf
Grade 1

The feeling here is that it is a lot tighter than it seems. I think Marsh Side and Quijano are being overlooked. To me, Dancing Forever is the horse to beat, not Gio Ponti (as the odds will tell you). Additionally, Grant Couturier is really dangerous if he is in better shape than his trainer is letting on. Midships is a wild card, but I doubt he will run to his lofty expectations here. For value's sake, I would throw Marsh Side on top and see if he floats up to 10-1.

4. Marsh Side
8. Dancing Forever
9. Gio Ponti
3. Quijano
2. Grand Couturier
7. Midships
5. Interpatation
6. Chinchon
1. Musketier


D.S. Williamson said...

I have to agree, Dancing Forever is where my money would go. The odds are only as good as those who set them and a trainer holding back on updates can cause a real upset too.

M.H. Adolphson, Jr. said...

Too bad I was dead wrong. Dancing Forever is not peaking yet (wait until Breeders' Cup time) and Gio Ponti is every bit as brilliant as his juvenile season hinted at in 2007's Bourbon Stakes.

Keith - Triple Dead Heat said...

It was a masterful ride by Jono Jones on Musketier...only the brilliance of Gio Ponti stopped the steal!


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