Friday, May 1, 2009

Stakes Picks for Oaks Day

ADOLPHSON SPEED RATINGS
PICKS - Friday (Oaks Day)

Race 6 - Aegon Turf Sprint
6. Chamberlain Bridge 100
2. Smart Enough 100
5. Due Date 98
7. Cannonball 97
3. Hewitts 95
4. Captivating Cat 94
8. Accredit 94
1. Chitoz 88
9. Jazz Nation 88

Chamberlain Bridge will be hard to run down, but the only horse who looks good enough to do it is Smart Enough. They are my 1-2. Due Date will be coming late and Cannonball will be right there.

Race 7 - The Louisville Distaff
4. One Caroline 105
2. Zenyatta 104
1. Swift Temper 98
8. Unbridled Belle 98
3. Miss Isella 92
6. Modification 91
5. Unforgotten 88
7. French Kiss 86

Zenyatta (HUGE favorite) is vulnerable in a race with a front-runner, One Caroline, who has run numbers just as fast as her, and will have very little competition on the pace.

Race 8 - Edgewood Stakes
7. Magical Affair 89
10. Laragh 88
11. Diamond Tags 87
1. Excelente 86
4. Abbott Hall 86
8. More of the Best 84
3. Banker's Choice 83
2. Fleet Streak 79
6. Complicity 77
5. Walloon 75
9. Mein Fraulein 72
12. Kiss Mine 69

Magical Affair has the right running style to run down the front-running Laragh and Diamond Tags, while Excelente and Abbot Hall should be right in the mix.

Race 9 - Alysheba Stakes
8. Dr.Pleasure 104
1. Macho Again 103
5. Bullsbay 102
3. Mambo in Seattle 102
10. Informed 100
2. Ready Set 96
4. Cool Coal Man 94
6. Star Guitar 93
9. Prom Shoes 92
7. Shift in Power 86

Dr. Pleasure, like his mother, is putting it all together at late age. Macho Again is the horse to beat, while Maryland horse (woohoo!), Bullsbay is looking like he is in peak form.

Race 10 - American Turf
3. Battle of Hastings (GB) 94
5. Skipadate 93
6. Bittel Road 92
1. Stormalory 91
2. Jack Spratt 88
7. Turfiste 85
9. Orthodox 82
8. Bunker HIll 80
4. Bruce N Autumn 79

If Skipadate and Bittel Road return to their old forms, they will be 1-2. Otherwise, Battle of Hastings is the horse to beat.

Race 11 - Kentucky Oaks
6. Rachel Alexandra 107
8. Flying Spur 104
5. Justwhistledixie 100
7. Nan 96
4. Gabby's Golden Gal 94
2. Be Fair 92
1. Tweeter 85
3. Stone Legacy 70

Flying Spur is dangerous, and Justwhistledixie is tough, but Rachel Alexandra should win. She is just the best.

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Adolphson Thoroughbred Consulting

Washington, D.C.

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www.AdolphsonTC.com
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